ESTIMASI BEBAN LISTRIK JANGKA PENDEK MENGGUNAKAN TIME SERIES NARX PADA BANGUNAN BERTINGKAT

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.23887/jptkundiksha.v21i2.76928

Keywords:

Time Series NARX , Energy Forecasting , Energy Consrvation, Efficiency Energy

Abstract

Penggunaan energi sebagai komponen utama dalam menjalankan aktivitas dari waktu ke waktu semakin bertambah, khususnya untuk energi listrik.Dari pekerjaan industri, komersil dan pendidikan. Menurut OECD Institusi pendidikan tinggi dan komersil menggunakan 35% - 45% lebih tinggi energi listrik daripada hunian dan perkantoran. Namun dalam penggunaan energi listrik terbilang belum secara kesuluruhan dan tidak efisien. Salah satu penyebab dari penggunaan energi yang tidak efisien adalah tidak memperhitungkan beban yang digunakan dan juga energi harian yang digunakan oleh komponen atau aktivitas yang dilakukan sehingga perlu adanya solusi yang tepat untuk memperbaiki kondisi tersebut. Salah satu cara yang dapat menggunakan metode Time Series NARX. NARX adalah salah satu metode dari Time Series Neural Network yang menggunakan penundaan agar menghasilkan akurasi yang diinginkan .Pada penelitian ini diharapkan mendapatkan hasil maksimal dan efisien serta mengurangi penggunaan energi listrik yang berlebihan. Hasil dari penelitian ini mendapatkan MAPE sebesar 16,08% dan RMSE sebesar 20,96

Kata kunci: Time Series NARX , Estimasi Beban , Konservasi Energi , Efisiensi Energi

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Published

2024-07-30

Issue

Vol. 21 No. 2 (2024): Edisi Juli 2024

Section

JPTK

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